Oscars 2017 Predictions: Who's Going To Win?

The nominations for the 89th annual Academy Awards were released today to recognize the best in film of 2016. Fun little fact about me, I’m a huge award season guy, specifically the Oscars. Yes, the Golden Globes and SAG Awards are nice and all, but everyone knows it’s all about the Oscars, and anyone that tells you otherwise is a chump.
With today’s release of the nominations, I’m going to take a dive into predicting who the winners will be in some of the major categories. I apologize to anyone who is a fan of Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Live Action Short, or Makeup and Hairstyle, but I’m not guessing who’s winning your category, because frankly, I don’t really care, although that’s not to say it’s still not a great achievement winning an Academy Award in one of those categories.
I made predictions for the Golden Globes before that show and did pretty well going six for eight with my picks, so as you’d imagine I’m probably going to nail all of these picks. Here are your Oscar winners.

Best Picture

  • Arrival
  • Fences
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • Hell or High Water
  • Hidden Figures
  • La La Land (Winner)
  • Lion
  • Manchester by the Sea
  • Moonlight

I would love to see Manchester by the Sea win here, but the smart money is to take La La Land. After it went seven for seven at the Golden Globes, I finally forced myself to go see it, and I was not disappointed. The movie got 14 nominations, and I see it taking home the big prize of the night. If the movie wasn’t to win, I could also see Moonlight or the aforementioned Manchester by the Sea winning the award.

Best Director

  • Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
  • Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
  • Damien Chazelle, La La Land (Winner)
  • Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
  • Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

The year of La La Land continues with Damien Chazelle taking home the prize for Best Director, and he’s more than worthy of the award. He did a great job directing the film, and if he does win the award, he’ll be the youngest winner ever of the award at the ripe age of 32. The only other nominee that I think could take down Chazelle would be Barry Jenkins, but even then I think it’s an outside shot.

Best Actor

  • Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea (Winner)
  • Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
  • Ryan Gosling, La La Land
  • Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
  • Denzel Washington, Fences

I have a huge man crush on Ryan Gosling and I don’t care who knows it. I thought he was great in La La Land, but this award is without a doubt going to Casey Affleck, and there isn’t anyone more worthy than him. He gave one of the best performances I’ve seen in quite some time in Manchester by the Sea, and it would be an absolute crime if he doesn’t go home with the Oscar. Have to give a shoutout to my man Denzel, because he was awesome in Fences.

Best Actress

  • Isabelle Huppert, Elle
  • Ruth Negga, Loving
  • Natalie Portman, Jackie
  • Emma StoneLa La Land (Winner)
  • Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

This is the one category I don’t feel that strongly about. I do think that Stone should take home the Oscar here because I thought she was great in La La Land, but it would not shock me if Isabelle Huppert or Natalie Portman also walked away as winners. I’m sticking with Stone, but we’ll see what happens

Best Supporting Actor

  • Mahershala Ali, Moonlight (Winner)
  • Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
  • Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
  • Dev Patel, Lion
  • Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

I was happy to see Lucas Hedges get nominated because I thought he was excellent in Manchester by the Sea, and as much as I’d love to see him win, I feel fairly confident that Mahershala Ali is going to win the award, and rightfully so. He was terrific in Moonlight and was robbed of the Golden Globe in this category.

Best Supporting Actress

  • Viola Davis, Fences (Winner)
  • Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  • Nicole Kidman, Lion
  • Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
  • Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

As worthy as Davis is of winning this category, it’s kind of bullshit because she should be in the Best Actress category. That’s not to take anything away from her performance because it was outstanding, but she pretty much has the same amount of screen time has her co-star Denzel Washington, in Fences, and he’s in the Best Actor category. And you know what the crazy part is? Davis would probably win for Best Actress if she was in that category. Regardless, she deserves an Oscar for a great performance.

Best Original Screenplay

  • Taylor Sheridan, Hell or High Water
  • Damien Chazelle, La La Land (Winner)
  • Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthimis Filippou, The Lobster
  • Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
  • Mike Mills, 20th Century Women

La La Land continues its dominance, as does Chazelle. He’ll probably win his second Oscar of the night here (or first depending on which category gets announced first at the show). I’d really like to see Lonergan win this award because La La Land is just hogging all the Oscars at this point, but look for Chazelle to be the winner.

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Eric Heisserer, Arrival
  • August Wilson, Fences
  • Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi, Hidden Figures
  • Luke Davis, Lion
  • Barry Jenkins with story by Tarell Alvin McCranley, Moonlight (Winner)

A category I feel fairly confident about. As worth as Jenkins is for the Best Director Award, that’s probably going to go to Chazelle, so I see him getting awarded for the screenplay he wrote for Moonlight, but he’s more than worthy of the award. Moonlight is a fantastic movie, and is very deserving of multiple Oscars, this being one of them.

Best Animated Feature

  • Kubo and the Two Strings
  • Moana
  • My Life as a Zucchini 
  • The Red Turtle
  • Zootopia (Winner)

To be honest, I don’t feel great about this category either, but Zootopia won the Golden Globe for the same category and that usually translates to an Oscar win. I very well could be wrong, but I’m sticking to my guns on this one.

Best Song

  • “Audition (The Fools Who Dream),” La La Land 
  • “Can’t Stop the Feeling,” Trolls
  • “City of Stars,” La La Land (Winner)
  • “The Empty Chair,” Jim: The James Foley Story 
  • “How Far I’ll Go,” Moana

It’s going to go to one of the two songs in this category from La La Land, but I guess I’ll go with “City of Stars.” I, along with the rest of the world probably, would love to see “Can’t Stop the Feeling” win the award, because that would mean everyone’s favorite heartthrob Justin Timberlake wins an Oscar, but as it is with almost every award of the night, La La Land takes home another Oscar here.

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